Post
Region: Europe
I don’t think Putin would go beyond Ukraine to be honest. But it’s fair to note I was quite sure he wouldn’t go to Ukraine either; until the very first morning of the war. I thought he’s smarter than that :/
Moldova have some advantage now to get ready for such possible escalation. And so do Armenia and Georgia. Other than that, there’s not a big list of where Putin can go with similar ease. But Transnistria is a tricky asset for his politics nonetheless
As for elections: yes. The real life behind internet and media is quite different. While his propaganda works and works very well (he gains more support, especially among the poorest classes of society) people aren’t in that majority as Kremlin tries to display. Everything which doesn’t align with his course is brutally silenced so it’s very convenient for his propaganda to look realistic, until you go out and see the real life in stores, at work places, on business meetings etc etc. I love to see this, what I call, silent protest where people express themselves in creative ways to avoid being fined or jailed for anti war activity or stances
I think they’ll fabricate the results like 80%+ in his support, or even more. Those old farts don’t even get it that in a real election the percentage for winners is usually much lower. Putin winning with 51% is more realistic than him winning with 99% lmao but the rednecks would still eat and swallow the latter result. A lot of his supporters remind me of mad religious cultists and that’s honestly frightening, such people are not able to negotiate (because that requires critical thinking first)
But in case of a full scale war against Russia the entire nation will fight for Russia even if they oppose Putin. They’d fight for their families and homes, and that’s another reason why betting on Russians to overthrow him under a big war threat is also wrong. Putin ≠ Russia and average folks will protect their home, not the leader